2018中东和北非移动经济(附下载)

2018中东和北非移动经济

报告摘要:

Subscriber growth slowing, but growth potential remains

订户增长放缓,但增长潜力仍然存在

By mid-2018, there were 381 million unique subscribers across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, accounting for 64% of the population. Despite annual subscriber growth of 4% on average over the last four years, MENA remains the second least penetrated region in the world. There is, however, significant variation among countries in the region, from the advanced Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Arab States where 77% of the population on average are mobile subscribers, to Other Arab States such as Comoros, Djibouti and Somalia where subscriber penetration is around 30%.

到2018年中期,中东和北非(MENA)地区的独立用户达到3.81亿,占人口的64%。 尽管过去四年中年用户平均增长率为4%,但中东和北非地区仍然是世界上第二低渗透率的地区。 然而,该地区各国之间存在显着差异,从先进的海湾合作委员会(GCC)阿拉伯国家,其中77%的人口平均是移动用户,到其他阿拉伯国家,如科摩罗,吉布提和索马里,其中用户渗透率 约为30%。

Between 2017 and 2025, the MENA region will see the fastest subscriber growth rate of any region except Sub-Saharan Africa, growing above the global average at a CAGR of 2.5% to reach 459 million. By this time, 69% of the population will be mobile subscribers, only slightly behind the global average of 71%.

从2017年到2025年,中东和北非地区将成为除撒哈拉以南非洲以外任何地区最快的用户增长率,增长率高于全球平均水平,复合年增长率为2.5%,达到4.59亿。 到这时,69%的人口将成为移动用户,仅略低于全球平均水平的71%。

Mobile contributing to jobs and economic growth

移动有助于就业和经济增长

In 2017, mobile technologies and services generated 4% of GDP in the MENA region, a contribution that amounted to just under $165 billion of economic value added. By 2022, the mobile economy in the region will generate around $200 billion of economic value added as countries continue to benefit from the improvements in productivity and efficiency brought about by increased take-up of mobile services.

2017年,移动技术和服务占中东和北非地区GDP的4%,这一贡献仅相当于1650亿美元的经济增加值。 到2022年,随着各国继续受益于移动服务增加带来的生产力和效率的提高,该地区的移动经济将产生约2000亿美元的经济增加值。

The mobile ecosystem supported more than 1 million jobs in 2017. This includes workers directly employed in the ecosystem and jobs indirectly supported by the economic activity generated by the sector.

移动生态系统在2017年支持了超过100万个工作岗位。这包括直接受雇于生态系统的工人和由该部门产生的经济活动间接支持的工作。

In addition to the impact on the economy and labour market, the mobile sector also makes a substantial contribution to the funding of the public sector, with more than $17 billion raised in 2017 in the form of general taxation.

除了对经济和劳动力市场的影响外,移动部门还为公共部门的融资做出了重大贡献,2017年以一般税收的形式筹集了170多亿美元。

Advanced MENA markets at the forefront of innovation

高级MENA市场处于创新的前沿

Slowing subscriber growth, increased competition and the ongoing uncertain political and economic backdrop are creating a challenging financial environment for operators in the MENA region. Looking forward however, these factors will stabilise. Revenue is likely to grow as more countries roll out or expand 4G networks and mobile operators continue to monetise growth 
in data traffic. The revenue growth will be modest though – a CAGR of 1.8% between 2017 and 2025. Operators are under pressure to diversify their revenue streams, implement new services and find effective ways to monetise the growth in data traffic to counteract the revenue squeeze. To this end, there are three key opportunities and areas of investment for the region’s mobile operators in the near to medium term.

用户增长放缓,竞争加剧以及持续不确定的政治和经济背景正在为中东和北非地区的运营商创造一个充满挑战的金融环境。 然而,展望未来,这些因素将趋于稳定。 随着越来越多的国家推出或扩展4G网络,移动运营商继续将数据流量增长货币化,收入可能会增长。 收入增长虽然微不足道 –  2017年至2025年的复合年增长率为1.8%。运营商面临着分散收入来源,实施新服务以及找到有效方法来实现数据流量增长的有效方法以抵消收入压力的压力。 为此,该区域的移动运营商在近中期内有三个关键机会和投资领域。

报告目录:

执行摘要
1.行业概述

1.1整体增长放缓但各地区的趋势不同
1.2 4G的采用加速,5G即将到来
1.3智能手机和高级服务的应用日益增多
1.4财务状况:收入前景黯淡,而资本支出在5G风暴前看到平静

2. 移动对经济增长的贡献
2.1移动生态系统的直接经济贡献
2.2移动技术的间接和生产力影响23
2.3就业和公共资金贡献
2.4五年展望

3.创新前沿的高级MENA市场
3.1 5G用例:消费者和企业的机会
3.2扩展物联网
3.3数字身份刺激了电子商务的发展

4.实现数字社会的潜力
4.1许可改革
4.2税收
4.3频谱路线图

 

 

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